National Coalition for Child Protection Reform / 53 Skyhill Road (Suite 202) / Alexandria, Va., 22314 / info@nccpr.org / www.nccpr.org

UNDERSTANDING CHILD ABUSE NUMBERS


The problem of child abuse is serious and real, but the solutions have been phony. Child savers misstate the nature and extent of child abuse in America in order to gain public support for phony solutions. A first step toward real solutions is understanding what the numbers really mean.

The most commonly-used number concerning child abuse is the number of children investigated as possible abuse victims as a result of "reports" to state child protection hotlines.  According to the most recent such survey, about three million children were the subjects of these investigations.

But more than two million of those children were subjects of reports that turned out to be false.[1] And of the rest, those labeled "substantiated" or "indicated" by protective workers, relatively few are the kind that leap to mind when we hear the words "child abuse.  By far the largest category was "neglect".  Often, these are cases in which the primary problem is a family's poverty.  (See New Issue Papers 5 and 6).

In fact, out of every 100 children investigated as possible victims of abuse, at least 66 simply weren't - the report was false. 18 were "substantiated" victims of neglect, 6 were victims of all forms of physical abuse, from the most minor to the most severe, 3 were victims of sexual abuse and two were victims of psychological maltreatment.  The rest fall into a category listed as "other." [2]

Widely-quoted data from studies also sometimes are taken out of context.  For example, Prevent Child Abuse America, formerly the National Committee for Prevention of Child Abuse, declares that a Denver study of sexual abuse allegations "found that only eight percent of reports were false." [3] In other literature, the figure from that study has been given as six percent. (The difference depends on whether cases in which the researchers could make no determination were included when percentages were computed).

In fact, whether one uses six percent or eight percent, that figure applies only to malicious falsehoods. The researchers found that an additional 17 percent of the reports were made in good faith but also turned out to be false. And in another 24 percent of the cases the researchers could not determine if the report was true or not. [4] Thus, what this study actually found was that at least 23 percent and possibly as many as 47 percent of all sexual abuse allegations are false. Furthermore, to be considered true in this study, a report needed only to meet the standard used by most child protective agencies -- that there be "some credible evidence" of abuse, even if there is more evidence that there was no abuse.

Some numbers are repeated so often that people are surprised to find how little data there are supporting them. Studies attempting to estimate the percentage of people sexually abused during childhood have come up with results ranging from one percent to 62 percent. [5] In addition, these studies use widely varying definitions of abuse, and usually include abuse by anyone, not just cases subject to the jurisdiction of child protective services.

But because large numbers attract more attention than small numbers, the claim appears repeatedly that "one out of three girls and one out of ten boys will be sexually abused" during childhood.

The best evidence we have concerning the true prevalence of sexual abuse comes from a review of 20 different studies conducted by seven Canadian researchers. They found that the studies with the best methodology consistently found that between 10 and 12 percent of girls under age 14 are sexually abused by someone (not necessarily a parent or guardian) during their childhoods. The study that produced the "one out of three" claim was singled out for criticism by these researchers. [6]

That 10 to 12 percent figure, like all of the best evidence concerning the true extent of child abuse in America, is cause for  concern and action. The real numbers are bad enough. Exaggeration serves only to panic us into seeking "solutions" that hurt the very children they were intended to help. More examples of the harm of "erring on the side of the child" can be found in Issue Paper 5 and in Family Preservation Issue Paper 3.


1. U.S. Dept. of Health and Human Services, Child Maltreatment 2001. Available online at http://www.acf.dhhs.gov/programs/cb/publications/cm01/ The document refers to the largest category of cases as "unsubstantiated" but for reasons discussed in the next issue paper, those cases are almost certainly false reports.. Back to Text.

2. Ibid. Back to Text.

3. Jon R. Conte, A Look at Child Sexual Abuse (Chicago: Prevent Child Abuse America) p.12. Back to Text.

4. David P.H. Jones and J. Melbourne McGraw, "Reliable and Fictitious Accounts of Sexual Abuse to Children," Journal of Interpersonal Violence, Vol.2 No. 1, March, 1987, pp.27-45. Back to Text.

5. These studies are cited in Diana Russell, The Secret Trauma: Incest in the Lives of Girls and Women (New York: Basic Books, 1986), pp.72. Back to Text.

6. William Feldman et. al., "Is Childhood Sexual Abuse Really Increasing in Prevalence?" An Analysis of the Evidence, Pediatrics, Vol. 88, No. 1, July, 1991, pp.29-33. Back to Text.


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